Probability and Statistics in Engineering

Lecture Notes

There are two parts to the lecture notes for this class: The Brief Note, which is a summary of the topics discussed in class, and the Application Example, which gives real-wolrd examples of the topics covered.

WEEK #

TOPICS

BRIEF NOTES

APPLICATION EXAMPLES

Part 1: Introduction to Probability

1

Events and their Probability, Elementary Operations with Events, Total Probability Theorem, Independence, Bayes' Theorem

1 (PDF)

1 (PDF)

2 (PDF)

3 (PDF)

4 (PDF)

2-3

Random Variables and Vectors, Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions

2 (PDF)

3 (PDF)

4 (PDF)

5 (PDF)

6 (PDF)

7 (PDF)

8 (PDF)

4

Functions of Random Variables and Derived Distributions

5 (PDF)

9 (PDF)

10 (PDF)

11 (PDF)

5-6

Expectation of Random Variables and Functions of Random Variables

Moments of Variables and Vectors

6 (PDF)

12 (PDF)

13 (PDF)

14 (PDF)

7

Conditional Second Moment Analysis

7 (PDF)

15 (PDF)

16 (PDF)

8

Selected Distribution Models: Normal, Lognormal, Extreme, Multivariate Normal Distributions

8 (PDF)

 

Part 2: Introduction to System Reliability

9

Time-invariant Second-Moment Reliability Analysis and Time-Invariant Full-Distribution Reliability Analysis

9 (PDF)

17 (PDF)

Part 3: Introduction to Statistics

10

Point Estimation of Distribution Parameters: Methods of Moments and Maximum Likelihood, Bayesian Analysis

10 (PDF)

18 (PDF)

11

Simple and Multiple Linear Regression

11 (PDF)

19 (PDF)

Assignments

The assignments from the class are presented here, by week.

WEEK #

TOPICS

ASSIGNMENTS

Part 1: Introduction to Probability

1

Events and their Probability, Elementary Operations with Events, Total Probability Theorem, Independence, Bayes' Theorem

Homework 1 (PDF)

2-3

Random Variables and Vectors, Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions

Homework 2 (PDF)

Homework 3 (PDF)

4

Functions of Random Variables and Derived Distributions

Homework 4 (PDF)

5-6

Expectation of Random Variables and Functions of Random Variables

Moments of Variables and Vectors

Homework 5 (PDF)

Homework 6 (PDF)

7

Conditional Second Moment Analysis

Homework 7 (PDF)

8

Selected Distribution Models: Normal, Lognormal, Extreme, Multivariate Normal Distributions

Homework 8 (PDF)

Part 2: Introduction to System Reliability

9

Time-invariant Second-Moment Reliability Analysis and Time-Invariant Full-Distribution Reliability Analysis

Homework 9 (PDF)

Part 3: Introduction to Statistics

10

Point Estimation of Distribution Parameters: Methods of Moments and Maximum Likelihood, Bayesian Analysis

Homework 10 (PDF)

11

Simple and Multiple Linear Regression

 

Exams

The two quizzes from the class are presented here, with the solutions to Quiz 1.

Quiz 1 (PDF); Solutions (PDF)

Quiz 2 (PDF)